← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Oct 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: G. Winkmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Karlsruhe win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 36' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 47' | 🟨 | Alexander Groiss · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | 🟨 | Josip Elez · Hannover |
| 73' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 76' | ⚽ | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 816.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1392.38 | 1501.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.01 | -17.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.90 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.91 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 25.79 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.43 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |