← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Oct 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Dresden win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Dresden +0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 55' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 63' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 86' | 🟨 | Matthaus Taferner · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amos Pieper · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 267.00 | 329.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1425.17 | 1563.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.47 | 22.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.99 | 26.66 |
| state index | -0.88 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |