← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Oct 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Bochum win | 26% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 34' | 🟨 | Makana Baku · Holstein Kiel |
| 38' | 🟨 | Michael Eberwein · Holstein Kiel |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 49' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 52' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 65' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 80' | 🟨 | Manuel Wintzheimer · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| coach days | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.82 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1493.38 | 1462.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.23 | 9.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |