← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Oct 21, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Bielefeld win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Bielefeld +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Hamburger SV |
| 50' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 89' | 🟨 | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 324.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 4.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1564.00 | 1589.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.50 | 9.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 16.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 25.26 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |