← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Oct 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Karlsruhe win | 27% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 10' | ⚽ | Saulo Decarli · Bochum |
| 12' | 🟨 | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 16' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 16' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 16' | 🟥 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 21' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 31' | ⚽ | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 40' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 52' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Karlsruhe |
| 67' | 🟨 | Manuel Stiefler · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anton Fink · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 49.00 | 810.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1466.70 | 1388.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 68.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -2.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | -2.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |