← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Oct 19, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Darmstadt win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 28' | 🟨 | James Lawrence · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Finn Ole Becker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 201.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1480.66 | 1464.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.89 | -18.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 27.45 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |