← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Oct 18, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Dresden win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 20' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 30' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 43' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Dresden |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 259.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1433.27 | 1437.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.59 | -23.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.71 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 25.07 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |