← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Oct 7, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Schmidt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 43% | 2.28 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.83 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 57' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ulrich Taffertshofer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟥 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 736.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1377.67 | 1557.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.01 | 28.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.12 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 10.08 | 10.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 26.55 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |