← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Oct 6, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 47% | 2.08 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Viktor Gyökeres · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 39' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ohlsson · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 50' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 247.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.38 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1511.01 | 1478.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.82 | 43.66 |
| eye test v1 | 1.18 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.75 |
| league points | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.94 | 25.61 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.84 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |