← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (og) | Aleksandr Zhirov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 16' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · SV Sandhausen |
| 26' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 40' | 🟨 | Gerrit Nauber · SV Sandhausen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julius Biada · SV Sandhausen |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marko Mihojević · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 71' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 369.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1463.30 | 1469.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.88 | 17.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 28.41 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -1.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |