← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.22 |
| Greuther Furth win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −1.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hamburger SV −1.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jeremy Dudziak · Hamburger SV |
| 60' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Hamburger SV |
| 60' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 157.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.12 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1582.13 | 1440.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.42 | -13.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.85 |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |