← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Oct 4, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Pfeifer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.32 |
| SV Wehen win | 14% | 7.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −1.5 | 54% | 1.82 |
| VfB Stuttgart −1.5 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 72% | 1.35 |
| Under | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · SV Wehen |
| 11' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
| 18' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · SV Wehen |
| 19' | 🟨 | Stefan Aigner · SV Wehen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jeremias Lorch · SV Wehen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · VfB Stuttgart |
| 77' | 🟥 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · SV Wehen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Titsch-Rivero · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 30 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| coach days | 95.00 | 975.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1639.54 | 1344.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.48 | -13.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 42.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 35.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.55 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.73 | -2.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 26.71 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | -2.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |