← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Sep 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Nurnberg win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
| 23' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 26' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nikola Dovedan · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 83' | ⚽ | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 91.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 4.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1513.50 | 1487.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.58 | -8.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.51 |
| league points | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 10.08 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |