← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Sep 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Bielefeld win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bielefeld +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Holger Badstuber · VfB Stuttgart |
| 27' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 61' | 🟥 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 76' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 300.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1567.24 | 1629.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.68 | 20.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| league points | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 64.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 2.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | 1.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 25.85 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.13 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |