← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Sep 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marc Stendera · Hannover |
| 43' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Salih Özcan · Holstein Kiel |
| 52' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 77' | 🟨 | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 19.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1481.42 | 1502.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.17 | -22.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.10 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| league points | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.73 | 26.32 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |