← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Sep 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Darmstadt win | 25% | 3.90 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Norman Theuerkauf · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maurice Multhaup · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4402.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1535.08 | 1474.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.11 | -21.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.82 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| league points | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |