← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Sep 15, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Darmstadt win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 9' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
| 64' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Nurnberg |
| 72' | ⚽ | Dario Đumić · Darmstadt |
| 82' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 85' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 26 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 226.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1475.49 | 1491.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.49 | -14.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.87 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 15.79 | 15.79 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 25.35 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.39 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |