← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 29' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 45' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Heidenheim |
| 55' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4396.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1521.88 | 1494.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.30 | -24.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.76 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 46.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 12.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |