← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Regensburg win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| VfB Stuttgart +0.25 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 64' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 76' | ⚽ | Holger Badstuber · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | ⚽ | Federico Palacios · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 24 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 805.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1487.99 | 1614.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.65 | 12.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.54 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 67.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 11.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.87 | 2.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | 1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |