← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Bielefeld win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bielefeld +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 41' | 🟨 | Joakim Nilsson · Bielefeld |
| 44' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Felipe · Hannover |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 77' | 🟨 | Dennis Aogo · Hannover |
| 80' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 80' | 🟥 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 75.00 | 287.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1519.03 | 1540.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.00 | 18.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 26.65 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |