← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Sep 2, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 62% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Bochum win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| VfB Stuttgart −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 37% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Daniel Didavi · VfB Stuttgart |
| 39' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 63' | 🟨 | Saulo Decarli · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| coach days | 63.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1610.24 | 1457.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.48 | -21.79 |
| eye test v1 | 1.35 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 10.08 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 2.12 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.04 | 25.23 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |