← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Sep 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Karlsruhe win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.89 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 29' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 53' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · VfL Osnabruck |
| 54' | 🟨 | Kevin Wolze · VfL Osnabruck |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marvin Pourié · Karlsruhe |
| 80' | ⚽ | Joost van Aken · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 700.00 | 761.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1384.88 | 1379.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.63 | 9.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.75 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.25 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.75 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.59 | 28.19 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -1.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |