← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Aug 31, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.78 |
| Greuther Furth win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 22' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 33' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 84' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 273.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 3.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1544.50 | 1457.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.39 | 23.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |