← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Aug 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Pfeifer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Darmstadt win | 22% | 4.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.75 | 55% | 1.78 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.75 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Gerrit Nauber · SV Sandhausen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 47' | ⚽ | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 58' | 🟥 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 73' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mario Engels · SV Sandhausen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 88' | 🟨 | Erich Berko · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 333.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1482.17 | 1483.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.21 | -1.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.80 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |