← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Aug 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Müller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Regensburg win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Regensburg +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 29' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 34' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 46' | ⚽ | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 63' | ⚽ | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 68' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 83' | ⚽ | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 784.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1486.53 | 1528.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.12 | 35.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.30 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| league points | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.37 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 27.33 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |