← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Aug 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Rohde
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 |
| Greuther Furth win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 32' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 34' | 🟨 | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 47' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Julian Korb · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 54.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1535.09 | 1454.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.78 | 22.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |