← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Aug 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Darmstadt win | 30% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 26' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 34' | 🟨 | Anas Ouahim · VfL Osnabruck |
| 36' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Darmstadt |
| 39' | 🟨 | Philipp Kühn · VfL Osnabruck |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mandela Egbo · Darmstadt |
| 51' | ⚽ | Kevin Wolze · VfL Osnabruck |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · VfL Osnabruck |
| 72' | ⚽ | Anas Ouahim · VfL Osnabruck |
| 79' | ⚽ | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 81' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 687.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1367.59 | 1509.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.12 | 19.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.50 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.50 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 17.08 | 15.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.50 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.50 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.64 | 27.56 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.66 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |