← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Aug 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Lukas Grozurek · Karlsruhe |
| 19' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 64' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 74' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟥 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 413.00 | 747.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1502.33 | 1395.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.93 | 29.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 13.92 | 15.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.64 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.71 | 28.19 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |