← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Aug 17, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 41% | 2.40 |
| SV Wehen win | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Sebastian Mrowca · SV Wehen |
| 28' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 47' | 🟨 | Manuel Schäffler · SV Wehen |
| 56' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Moritz Kuhn · SV Wehen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sascha Mockenhaupt · SV Wehen |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 927.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.47 |
| elo | 1370.93 | 1522.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.11 | 3.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.50 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 12.90 | 13.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.50 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.50 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.22 | 26.45 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |