← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Aug 17, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: G. Winkmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.81 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 13% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −1.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| VfB Stuttgart −1.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Mats Møller Dæhli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 60' | ⚽ | Marc-Oliver Kempf · VfB Stuttgart |
| 67' | 🟨 | Florian-Horst Carstens · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Waldemar Sobota · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 47.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1608.86 | 1438.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.16 | -34.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 46.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.69 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |