← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Aug 16, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Nurnberg win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Nurnberg +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 25' | ⚽ | Mario Engels · SV Sandhausen |
| 34' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Nurnberg |
| 52' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 67' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | ⚽ | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lukas Jäger · Nurnberg |
| 89' | ⚽ | Philip Türpitz · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 319.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1451.88 | 1495.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.63 | -38.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 10.92 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 25.77 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.51 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |