β 2. Bundesliga 2019 Β· Sun, Aug 4, 01:30 PM UTC Β· ref: R. Kempter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 38% | 2.56 |
| SV Wehen win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| SV Wehen +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | β½ | Florian KrΓΌger Β· Erzgebirge AUE |
| 22' | π¨ | Marvin Ajani Β· SV Wehen |
| 35' | β½ | Dimitriy Nazarov Β· Erzgebirge AUE |
| 36' | π¨ | Phillip Tietz Β· SV Wehen |
| 40' | π¨ | Dimitriy Nazarov Β· Erzgebirge AUE |
| 43' | β½ | Phillip Tietz Β· SV Wehen |
| 48' | π¨ | Pascal Testroet Β· Erzgebirge AUE |
| 55' | π¨ | SΓΆren Gonther Β· Erzgebirge AUE |
| 75' | π¨ | Jeremias Lorch Β· SV Wehen |
| 78' | π¨ | Sebastian Mrowca Β· SV Wehen |
| 82' | β½ |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 23 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 89' | β½ | Maximilian Dittgen Β· SV Wehen |
| 90' | π¨ | Marko MihojeviΔ Β· Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | π¨ | Maximilian Dittgen Β· SV Wehen |
| coach days | 3.00 | 914.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | β |
| elo | 1456.28 | 1377.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.04 | 5.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | β |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | β |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | β |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | β |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | β |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | β |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | β |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | β |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | β |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | β |
| squad age | 27.83 | 25.27 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | β |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | β |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | β |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |