← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Aug 2, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Greuther Furth win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 35' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 70' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 123.00 | 182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1457.47 | 1425.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.55 | -29.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |