← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Jul 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 49% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Christian Joe Conteh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 69' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ryo Miyaichi · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niklas Hoffmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 240.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1521.80 | 1453.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.08 | -22.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |