← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Jul 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Bochum win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 50' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 70' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ulrich Bapoh · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Baack · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tom Baack · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 757.00 | 542.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1481.34 | 1480.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.71 | 5.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.20 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |