← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Jul 26, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 55% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Hannover win | 21% | 4.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| VfB Stuttgart −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 29' | ⚽ | Mario Gómez · VfB Stuttgart |
| 36' | ⚽ | Daniel Didavi · VfB Stuttgart |
| 39' | ⚽ (og) | Maxime Awoudja · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Santiago Ascacíbar · VfB Stuttgart |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matthias Ostrzolek · Hannover |
| 52' | 🟨 | Maxime Awoudja · VfB Stuttgart |
| 63' | 🟨 | Matthias Ostrzolek · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟥 | Matthias Ostrzolek · Hannover |
| 66' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart |
| 78' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| 85' | 🟨 | Maxime Awoudja · VfB Stuttgart |
| 85' | 🟥 | Maxime Awoudja · VfB Stuttgart |
| 87' | 🟨 | Daniel Didavi · VfB Stuttgart |
| coach days | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1602.35 | 1531.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.63 | 30.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 26.44 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |