← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jul 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Tenerife win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Igor Zlatanović · Numancia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 60' | ⚽ | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 62' | 🟨 | Curro · Numancia |
| 64' | ⚽ | Curro · Numancia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 415.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.61 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1422.82 | 1522.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.24 | -7.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| league points | 53.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 25.54 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |