← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jul 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 51% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Mirandes win | 22% | 4.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Mickaël Malsa · Mirandes |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marcos André · Mirandes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 68' | 🟨 | — · Lugo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 49.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1441.88 | 1466.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.14 | 5.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 49.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |