← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ponferradina win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Ponferradina +0 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Pablo Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 12' | ⚽ | Ivi · Ponferradina |
| 38' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 43' | 🟨 | Arvin Appiah · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Darwin Núñez · Almeria |
| 64' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 64' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ivi · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enzo Zidane · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 777.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1416.23 | 1538.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -62.82 | 3.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 51.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 24.85 |
| state index | -1.32 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |