← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Zaragoza win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Maikel Mesa · Albacete |
| 22' | ⚽ | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Burgui · Zaragoza |
| 33' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Albacete |
| 46' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Albacete |
| 62' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Zaragoza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Albacete |
| 80' | 🟨 | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jannick Buyla · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 777.00 | 594.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1442.47 | 1498.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.81 | -54.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| league points | 47.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 4.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 27.14 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |