← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Lugo win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 60' | 🟥 | Jaime Seoane · Lugo |
| 70' | ⚽ | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
| 73' | 🟨 | Hacen · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Lluis Lopez · Tenerife |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hacen · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 229.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1536.80 | 1427.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.43 | 23.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| league points | 61.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 5.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |