← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Albacete win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟥 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Elche CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Víctor Rodríguez · Elche CF |
| 49' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Albacete |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jonathas · Elche CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jonathas · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jonathas · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 893.00 | 773.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1496.48 | 1453.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.35 | 12.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.83 |
| league points | 55.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 4.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |