← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jul 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.13 |
| Oviedo win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Oviedo −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Samuel Obeng · Oviedo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Carlos Vigaray · Zaragoza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Javi Puado · Zaragoza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Shinji Kagawa · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 589.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1516.92 | 1488.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.08 | -7.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| league points | 65.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 28.13 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |