← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jul 12, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Ponferradina win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Numancia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mohamed Sanhaji Brahami · Numancia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Francisco De La Manzanara · Ponferradina |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 85' | ⚽ | Igor Zlatanović · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yuri · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 407.00 | 772.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1423.97 | 1424.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.64 | -58.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| league points | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 27.82 |
| state index | -0.63 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |