← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jul 12, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lugo +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 30' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Lugo |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Girona |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 72' | ⚽ | Aday Benítez · Girona |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1425.80 | 1540.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.53 | 5.17 |
| eye test v1 | -1.20 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| league points | 45.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 2.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.49 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 29.26 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |