← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jul 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Zaragoza win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
| 33' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Joselu · Tenerife |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 89' | 🟥 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Torres · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 221.00 | 586.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1539.37 | 1514.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.37 | -49.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.53 |
| league points | 59.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.21 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |