← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jul 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Almeria win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Girona |
| 44' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | David Costas · Almeria |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Girona |
| 90' | 🟥 | Valentine Ozornwafor · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.60 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.56 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadi Municipal de Montilivi |
| coach days | 38.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1531.68 | 1538.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.49 | -11.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| league points | 58.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.49 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 25.69 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |