← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jul 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Numancia win | 17% | 5.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Numancia −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario Suárez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 28' | 🟨 | Yacine Qasmi · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 54' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Numancia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Santi Comesaña · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 57' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 65' | 🟥 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Villar · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 72' | ⚽ | Curro · Numancia |
| 78' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 🟨 |
| Andrés Martín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Curro · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 496.00 | 404.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1546.93 | 1429.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.93 | -15.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| league points | 55.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 2.95 | 5.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.10 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.83 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |