← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jul 6, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| 🟨 |
| Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Pereira · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | ⚽ | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 583.00 | 493.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1532.22 | 1529.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.22 | -19.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| league points | 64.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 28.31 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |