← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jul 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Tenerife win | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Darwin Núñez · Almeria |
| 28' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 36' | 🟨 | Francisco Villalba · Almeria |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
| 48' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 84' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 86' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟥 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 3.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1550.75 | 1527.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.28 | 37.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| league points | 63.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |